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Cats, Canine and Equity

The real estate market does not move in one direction nationwide. It never has. What is happening in Austin is not what is happening in Cleveland. What is true for a three-bedroom in the suburbs of Dallas has almost nothing to do with a two-bedroom in San Francisco. Before you do anything else, narrow your focus to the specific market you are shopping in and stop reading national headlines as if they apply to you personally.

Home prices at the national level have stayed stubbornly high even as financing costs doubled in under two years. The reason is supply. Homeowners who locked in three percent mortgages in 2020 and 2021 have almost no incentive to sell, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that the buyer who can close confidently has more leverage than the headline numbers suggest.

Before you look at a single listing, get your financing fully sorted. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Without that letter, you are not a buyer, you are a browser.

The inspection is where the marketing copy meets reality. Be there with the inspector and ask questions throughout. A good home inspector will walk you through what they are finding as they go, and you will learn more about the property in three hours than in any number of showing visits.

Budget two to four percent of the purchase price for closing costs, on top of your down payment. First-time buyers often do not see the full closing cost picture until the Closing Disclosure arrives three days before settlement. Ask your lender for a Loan Estimate before you make any offers, so you can plan your cash position accurately.

For buyers with a real reason to be in a specific place for the foreseeable future, this market is full of opportunity that distracted or impatient buyers miss. The homes that are right for a specific buyer’s actual needs are still moving. They are going to the people who did the homework before they started looking at listings.

Buyers who take the time to prepare before they start looking tend to find that opportunities exist even when conditions look difficult on paper. Spending twenty minutes with current homes for sale and market analytics is a better use of your time than waiting for conditions that may never arrive.